Wednesday, May 21, 2008
Oh Youth, Where Art Thou???
Howling Latina decided to comb through Democratic primary results to discern just how strong is the current youth movement in relationship to oh, let's say 2004.
In putting data in historical context, Democrats may want to recall the much touted 'Rock the Vote' and Howard Dean youth movement of '04; Dems suffered a humiliating defeat in the fall.
The share of voters aged 18-29 in the Iowa caucuses of 2004 was 17 percent; in New Hampshire primaries, the youth vote share dropped to 14 percent. Any data after New Hampshire is fairly meaningless since after New Hamsphire in '04, Kerry was the presumptive nominee.
Moving ahead to 2008 primaries and caucuses, data is not readily available in some caucus states but here are the available number for the rest:
In putting data in historical context, Democrats may want to recall the much touted 'Rock the Vote' and Howard Dean youth movement of '04; Dems suffered a humiliating defeat in the fall.
The share of voters aged 18-29 in the Iowa caucuses of 2004 was 17 percent; in New Hampshire primaries, the youth vote share dropped to 14 percent. Any data after New Hampshire is fairly meaningless since after New Hamsphire in '04, Kerry was the presumptive nominee.
Moving ahead to 2008 primaries and caucuses, data is not readily available in some caucus states but here are the available number for the rest:
IOWA - 22 percentData shows a slight tick in some states -- but hardly a seismic movement.
NEW HAMPSHIRE - 17 percent
MICHIGAN - 17 percent
NEVADA - 13 percent
S. CAROLINA - 14 percent
FLORIDA - 9 percent
ALABAMA - 13 percent
ARIZONA - 8 percent
ARKANSAS - 9 percent
CALIFORNIA - 16 percent
LOUISIANA - 10 percent
MARYLAND - 14 percent
VIRGINIA - 14 percent
WISCONSIN - 16 percent
OHIO - 16 percent
RHODE ISLAND - 13 percent
TEXAS - 16 percent
VERMONT - 11 percent
MISSISSIPPI - 14 percent
PENNSYLVANIA - 12 percent
INDIANA - 17 percent
N. CAROLINA - 14 percent
W. VIRGINIA - 14 percent
KENTUCKY - 13 percent
OREGON - 16 percent
// posted by Howling Latina @ 9:40 AM 
