Monday, April 14, 2008
Survey USA - Hillary Leads by 16 Points
Yikes...yes, Hillary should immediately quit the race.
Compared to an identical SurveyUSA poll released two weeks ago, Clinton is up 3 points, Obama is down 4 points. Clinton had led by 9 at the beginning of April, leads by 16 mid-month. Here's where the movement is occurring: Among men, Obama had trailed by 2, now trails by 12, a 10-point swing to Clinton. In greater Indianapolis, Obama had led by 12, now trails by 1, a 13-point swing to Clinton. Among Democrats, Obama had trailed by 12, now trails by 27, a 15-point swing to Clinton. Among voters focused on health care, Clinton had led by 10, now leads by 30, a 20-point swing to Clinton. Among the youngest voters, Obama had led by 19, now trails by 2, a 21-point swing to Clinton.
I'm not sure whether or not Clinton should leave the race though, I lean towards thinking she should, but I also think that'll probably have lots of negative externalities associated with it.
It's probably best she stay in until there's no other possible outcome.
And, it's worth stating that in the linked post, I'm not referring to Clinton when I say I'm "tired," I'm referring to the traditional media which seems to think that trivializing our elections is a good thing.