Monday, June 12, 2006
Bye, Bye Harris Miller
The numbers have been tallied and the results are in.
James Webb will beat Harris Miller in Virginia's 1st district by a substantial margin. Howling Latina predicts Webb will get approximately 62 percent of the votes in the 1st district and Miller will get 38 percent.
Here's where the numbers came from.
Out of 202 staunch Democratic voters contacted, HL reached 76 voters. Thirteen refused to talk. Eighteen said they were undecided. Seven said they supported Miller . Fifty said they supported Webb.
Adding the 18 "undecided" voters to the 13 who refused to talk, the possible pickup for either Harris or Webb are 31 votes.
Assuming a good share of the 31 voters who refused to talk or were undecided were actually either Miller supporters or leaning-Miller, say 85 percent, that adds approximately 26 voters to the Miller side and 5 to Webb.
The combined total is 26 + 7 for Miller or 33 votes; and 5 + 50 or 55 votes for Webb.
Voila, there's your 62 percent over 38 percent winning margin.
Oh yea, we're kicking butt tomorrow!
James Webb will beat Harris Miller in Virginia's 1st district by a substantial margin. Howling Latina predicts Webb will get approximately 62 percent of the votes in the 1st district and Miller will get 38 percent.
Here's where the numbers came from.
Out of 202 staunch Democratic voters contacted, HL reached 76 voters. Thirteen refused to talk. Eighteen said they were undecided. Seven said they supported Miller . Fifty said they supported Webb.
Adding the 18 "undecided" voters to the 13 who refused to talk, the possible pickup for either Harris or Webb are 31 votes.
Assuming a good share of the 31 voters who refused to talk or were undecided were actually either Miller supporters or leaning-Miller, say 85 percent, that adds approximately 26 voters to the Miller side and 5 to Webb.
The combined total is 26 + 7 for Miller or 33 votes; and 5 + 50 or 55 votes for Webb.
Voila, there's your 62 percent over 38 percent winning margin.
Oh yea, we're kicking butt tomorrow!
// posted by Howling Latina @ 10:04 PM 
